How to Deal With the DPRK?

靖博 阅读:919 2018-02-12 12:07:18 评论:0

*DPRK - Democratic People's Republic of Korea

*靖博 按:To downplay the sensationality of the title and wording, I refer to San Ge's sovereignty as DPRK in English and "北韩" in Chinese in this article.

集中阅读了几篇探讨北韩问题解决方案的文章,很受启发。此文作一小结。由于涉及版权,本文不转贴原文,仅提供超链以作日后参考之用。

以下几篇文章很有水平,分析较全面。下贴出处、文章题目与超链。

1. The Atlantic: "How to Deal With North Korea -- There are no good options. But some are worse than others", Mark Bowden

https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2017/07/the-worst-problem-on-earth/528717/

上文对应中文译本:“朝核困局:当今最棘手的问题”

https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2017/07/the-worst-problem-on-earth-chinese-translation/530658/

2. Time: How to stop Kim Jong En

http://time.com/north-korea-opinion/

3. Business Insider Singapore: "These are the 7 military options Congress has been given to deal with North Korea", Alex Lockie, Business Insider US, November 1, 2017

http://www.businessinsider.sg/us-7-military-options-for-north-korea-2017-10/?r=US&IR=T

4. Huffpost: "A New Way to Deal with North Korea", Doug Bandow

https://www.huffingtonpost.com/doug-bandow/a-new-way-to-deal-with-no_b_14062280.html

5. Brookings: "A 'Master Plan' to Deal With North Korea",Michael E. O’Hanlon,Wednesday, January 1, 2003

https://www.brookings.edu/research/a-master-plan-to-deal-with-north-korea/

6.Vox: "Here’s what war with North Korea would look like", Yochi Dreazen, Feb 8, 2018

https://www.vox.com/world/2018/2/7/16974772/north-korea-war-trump-kim-nuclear-weapon

7. Arms Control Association: "Chronology of U.S.-North Korean Nuclear and Missile Diplomacy"

https://www.armscontrol.org/factsheets/dprkchron

以上文章,仅为学术参考之用。其中观点不代表本站观点。

在另一篇文在寅总统特使红Seok-Hyun的文章中,作者提出川普政府对北韩的“四不”(four nos)原则应作为外交解决朝核问题的出发点。我同意这个观点。

“四不”是去年八月美国国务卿蒂勒森提出的:1.美国不谋求北韩政权改变;2.不谋求政权倒台;3.不谋求加速半岛统一;4.不谋求派遣美军越过三八线。

“We do not seek a regime change, we do not seek a collapse of the regime, we do not seek an accelerated reunification of the peninsula, we do not seek an excuse to send our military north of the 38th Parallel,” U.S. State Secretary Rex Tillerson said on August 1.

这是本世纪最难解决的一个政治难题,复杂和危险程度远超伊朗和巴以问题。

大西洋杂志那篇文章最后一句说:as a young man with a lifetime of wealth and power before him, how likely is he to wake up one morning and set fire to his world?

三哥会吗?川爷会吗?但谁能保证柴火垛不会自燃或被村里哪个懒汉扔个烟头儿呢?

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